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Title: Chinese Rural to Urban Migration: The Role of Non-Pecuniary Benefits in Migration Decisions
Authors: Carr, Jillian Beaugez
Keywords: Text;Honors papers;Mathematics and Computer Science, Department of
Issue Date: 15-May-2012
Publisher: Memphis, Tenn. : Rhodes College
Abstract: Since the 1978 opening of the Chinese economy, increased rural to urban migration hasboth fueled economic growth and strained existing urban infrastructure. Although theChinese government has attempted to slow this migration (through restrictive householdregistration programs,) it has continued on a massive scale. Many traditional models ofmigration in developing countries predict wage equalization and zero net migration atequilibrium, but there are no indicators that either of these outcomes will be observed inChina. This paper considers the role of non-pecuniary benefits in migration decisions inChina, identifies migration-inducing policies and suggests potential remedies. A settheoretic model of the decision-making process is approximated using a time seriesregression to analyze the migration decision process, comparing non-pecuniary wages inprovinces over the five-year period from 2002 to 2006 to predict migration. Theconclusions from this model are then compared with the findings of a Markov chainanalysis of current Chinese employment trends.
Description: Jillian Carr granted permission for the digitization of her paper. It was submitted by CD.
Appears in Collections:Mathematics and Computer Science. Honors Papers

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